I'd just like to say that I hope it is a hung ...

2010-04-25T19:37:11.134+01:00

I'd just like to say that I hope it is a hung parliament and that the Lib Dems go into coalition with Labour.
The best result Cameron can hope for is a wafer thin majority. He will try and do some of the things that need doing but he will be frustrated at every turn by the public sector unions, who will in turn try and turn the whole country into a battleground. So Cameron will end up as beleagured as Edward Heath.
Labour will be re-energised by choosing a new leader - with the possibility of a new election at short notice, they may well chooose the charming looking Alan Johnson (great identity change for the old union troublemaker) and get a boost in the polls. This will put even more pressure on the Cameron government, and it'll either implode trying to do the right thing, or u-turn into scrapping spending cuts and become useless anyway. And there's a good chance a Brown-less Labour could be back within a couple of years.
In the other scenario, the Lib Dems go into coalition with Labour - presumably without Brown, so we'll even have an unelected Labour PM despite having an election! The new coalition will try to bring in PR... you can't do that without a referendum, and if they have anything about them, the Tory leadership will be able to smash holes in any pro-PR campaign and get it defeated.
This will end the Lib Dem-Labour coalition within a year, lead to a second election and a real Tory majority of at least 50, so a new government will really be able to get on with things.
That's what I think - yes, a Conservative government, but in a few months time, when they've given Labour and Lib Dems enough rope to hang themselves with.
A thumping Tory majority just isn't possible right now, so play the long game and by 2011, both Labour and the Lib Dems will be as far away from power as they were in 1983, ha ha.

Best correct the typo you ridiculed Labour geeks f...

2010-04-23T16:05:26.318+01:00

Best correct the typo you ridiculed Labour geeks for making, delete this comment and act casual.

Quick smart!

Very sensible points - the Tories to need to get r...

2010-04-23T11:31:05.791+01:00

Very sensible points - the Tories to need to get ready for a no overall majority situation. I doubt that the Lib Dems would want more than a confidence and supply agreement anyway, with the understanding that they could vote freely on other issues. In that case the biggest obstacle would be aligning Tory and Lib Dem economic policy.

The Liberal Democrats want to rip up the rule book in terms of the electoral system, and frankly if Brown is returned despite taking a thumping from the people, TB will be inclined to agree with them.

We'll hold you to that! :)

Comments on Tory Bear - right-wing political gossip: The Morning After the Night Before

I'd just like to say that I hope it is a hung ...

Best correct the typo you ridiculed Labour geeks f...

Very sensible points - the Tories to need to get r...