Quote of the Day

"The expenses scandal is like the ex that keeps turning up and you drunkenly mate with out of habit. Transient pleasure, then everyone feels grubby."

-Gift of the Fab

Legg Lobs the Grenade

TB is busy trawling the Legg report. Live updates

here

.

Again just weeks before the general election, expenses are back dominating the news agenda. Looks like today's bell tower is going to be the Viggers flag pole. TB would rather we paid for all of our public servants to display the Union flag outside their publicly funded home than they were given food and TVs.

This is not the end of the expenses crisis, however hard the MPs want it to be. This comes to an end when the country gets to make their judgement on their representatives.

When is a briefing not a briefing?

When it's a drinks party. TB sadly had to curtail his attendance early at the CCHQ bloggers meet and greet drinks party last night. He was there long enough to hear a vintage Pickles and drink his fair share of the copious amounts of free booze. He hears it went on till three am with some epic karaoke.

He was most amused then this morning to have a phone call from Will Straw who was on the trail of a hot lead. He put some questions to TB about whether Eric Pickles had told bloggers they would now be receiving 7am briefing notes on the lines to blog and tweet about. Utter tosh of course.

"Evidence based" blog Left Foot Forward

have run

an anonymous email from someone who clearly wasn't at the event last night. Needless to say they have been pummelled in the comments section. Where is the evidence there? And TB was sure Left Foot Forward "don't do attack"? Of course as soon as emails were forwarded to the likes of the over excitable, near hysterical Sunny Hundal, the left were is

spasms of joy

. Finally the Tory bloggers were seemingly just like them, willing to puppet lines. Well sorry to disappoint chaps, the whole story is bullshit:

• No memo.
• No briefing.
• No evidence.
• No substance.

No wonder these blogs are gaining popularity on the left - they embody essence of Labour.

Ironically Pickles attacked Labour's central control online and mentioned rebbuting Labour's lies and spin and misinformation that they are so willing to peddle. Frankly the fact that almost everyone who was in the room last night was willing to defend what was said and dispuite such blatent lies from Left Foot Forward and Liberal Conspiracy is not evidence of a coordinated attack but evidence of how far wide of the mark these made up allegations are.

It is no surprise that this sort of thing has happened again. After a Christmas lunch for some online folk organised by the party, James Macintyre of the New Statesman made up similar ridiculous spin about the event. TB is surprised he has not waded into today's fun and games. Has this merchent of lies finally decided to turn over a new leaf after getting so badly burnt last time?

A poor day for the lefty bloggers, jealousy does such terrible things to people's judgement. They have exposed how in sync they are on attack lines and higlighted just how little evidence or infomation they need to spin out a nonsense attack. Will should stick to reprinting data sent to him from above in graph form and Sunny should stick to what he is best at.. ummm. Well not this clearly.

PMQs Review - Dave is Back

From the very first question on Brown's secret slush fund, the Prime Minister was on the back foot. He cocked up the joke he stole from Andrew Neil about changing policy through the day and he was clearly not expecting Dave to be back on classic form. And on form he was.

The Chilcot quotes, the Paddy Ashdown diaries quote and the nod to the fact Gordon throws his female staff around the bunker made for brilliant watching. Gordon was livid, Labour MPs were stone faced and even Darling laughed. He tried to fight back but was fuming. A fantastic return to form for Dave. About time too.

Dave 9, Gordon 2

Quote of the Day

"I think that's why we are down for best adapted screenplay - it's adapted from The Iraq Inquiry."

-Armando Iannucci talking to Sky News about In The Loop's Oscar nomination.

Really?

Sadly for the comrades, their leader is not on one of them.

Nothing to Hide, Nothing to Fear

Via the ever growing

Big Brother Watch

this image certainly livened up that post lunch slump. Body scanning became compulsory at Heathrow today. Something tells me Cabinet members won't be randomly selected for it though. But...

TB better duck for cover.

Verdict on Adeela Attack - Labour Guilty

Whatever your views on the

Kerry Out campaign

, be they supportive or dubious, no one can argue that Labour aren't rattled by it. As part of a coordinated campaign day for Kerry McCarthy, some seriously dubious allegations have been plastered across the pages of the Mirror and the internet.

Firstly the Mirror was tipped off by Labour HQ's opposition research bods, Labour can't afford much but they sure as hell are bringing in the dark artists. Labour bloggers and twitter users have confirmed to TB that they were tipped off by Victoria Street and asked to heavily promote the story.

Cough

. The whole day will then end in a phonebanking session for Kerry run directly out of Labour's Victoria Street HQ.

The Mirror piece is an extremely lazy piece of journalism. It makes a series of swathing allegations backed up by absolutely no evidence. Blogger MPTP goes into some legal detail

here

:

You would think that any journalist, let alone one from a left-wing, Labour-partisan newspaper, would want to include in information about the circumstances in which these CCJs were incurred. It also seems strange not to approach the claimants for comment – and there is no indication in the story that the Mirror did. Why wouldn’t you ask the claimant why the debt is “outstanding”?


I suspect I know why.


The central register of country court judgements for England and Wales is maintained by the Registry Trust, a not for profit company set up in the early 1980s. Anyone can search the register, for a small fee, and the credit industry buys the data in bulk.


One of the interesting things about the register is what it doesn’t contain: to whom a CCJ debt is owed, or the circumstances in which it was incurred. A register entry for a CCJ consists of the amount, the court which made the judgement, the case number, and the date of the judgement.


So…the Mirror’s story contains no more information than could be found in a Registry Trust search against Adeela Shafi, and lacks the information which is not present in the CCJ register? The conclusion I draw is that the only basis for the Mirror story is a search of the CCJ register.


If that is correct, then the terms in which the story is written may yet prove problematic for the Mirror. It is specifically said that


…£324,272 is outstanding – despite her being ordered to repay it nearly three years ago in July 2007 – five months before she became a prospective Tory MP.


This goes well beyond the contents of a Registry Trust search result. The Register does hold a status for each CCJ, either “satisfied” or “unsatisfied”, but unsatisfied is not the same as unpaid.


Unsatisfied indicates that Registry Trust has never been notified of payment, whereas satisfied means that the debt was paid more than a month after the judgement. If a debt is paid within one month of judgement (or the judgement is set aside), the CCJ is removed from the register altogether, and there would be no trace of it in any subsequent search.


So here’s the problem – at this point there’s no evidence that Adeela Shafi owes a penny, but there’s a very clear implication from the Mirror that she owes £324,272. I’ve set out above why I think all the Mirror has is a CCJ register search – which can’t support that implication. You can defame by implication, of course, and an implication that someone has failed to pay a substantial amount despite a judgement is plainly defamatory.


Has the Mirror exposed itself to a defamation suit here? It will turn on whether there is some truth in the implication, and so far there has been no comment from either Shafi or the Conservative Party. 

On a related note, why didn’t the Mirror bother to access the court records? From these they could have obtained the names of the claimants in these cases, and details of the circumstances. That would have nicely padded out the story – frankly, have turned it into something worth printing.

A damning indictment on a shoddy piece of attack from Labour. If it was a real story it would have appeared somewhere else, anywhere else even.

Now the KerryOut campaign has been an interesting experiment in techniques of online fund-raising and raising awareness nationally of interesting local fights. It will liven up again as soon as the election is called and the streets will be pounded. The fact that Labour have resorted to trying such a blatant hatchet job on Kerry's opponent shows just how low they are willing to stoop.

P.S. It's really obvious when you try to coordinate attacks quite so unsubtly. Why not just come out and say it? Why is an MP hiding behind kids online half her age to do her dirty work? Labour HQ, on behalf of Kerry McCarthy and her team are directly behind these unsourced and unproven slurs on her opponents character. And she doesn't even have the guts to put her name to it. Another reason for the #KerryOut list eh?

Another One Bites the Dust

Shagging Nigel Griffiths was certain to lose his seat, hopefully to the excellent Neil Hudson, but the Liberal Democrats are fighting Edinburgh South hard. Good riddance to bad rubbish. Griffiths has been at Gordon's side since he rose the dodgy internal ranks of the Scottish Labour Party and has always be willing to do the dirty work at Gordon's asking.

A somewhat surprising candidate to be caught up in the sex scandal he did, but Griffiths was bonking call girls on Remembrance Day on his Commons desk. Add the expense fiddling and general two faced slimness and you can see why even Labour activists

are happy

retiring to spend more time with his publicly funded wide-screen telly.

Westminster will be a better place without him.

Back Monday but...

TB is off for a cheeky weekend in Amsterdam. He won't be blogging, though if you fancy perusing the

archives

this weekend, TB is only a few thousand page-views shy of  a record breaking month. Also if anyone can tell him where in the city he might find this giant clog he would be a very happy bear. GPS coordinates in the comments please.

Jihad! the Musical

TB had a fantastic time last night at Jihad! the Musical. It's on until the 6th Feb and well worth a visit if you can still

get a ticket

. All singing all dancing holy war. Cracking stuff.

Tweetminster's Embarrassing Climbdown

Red faces all round for

Tweetminster

who have just updated their figures after Tory Bear yesterday highlighted the blatant inaccuracy in their data. The new figures are Labour 61,039 - down a shocking 45.8% on the original figures floated and the Conservative figure is 27,063 - down 31%. As TB said yesterday, there was a clear swelling of the Labour figure. Something Tweetminster were originally prepared to turn a blind eye to. No wonder the

intenational press

refer to them as "the Labor Tweetminster"

Alberto Nardelli, Tweetminster CEO, is making great efforts to distance Tweetminster from public affairs unit PoliticsDirect. Quite hard when their MD gave them £100k. John Arnold should ask for his money back.

UPDATE 15.11: Tweetminster are refusing to reveal the methodology which mean that Labour figures were 51,810 out. They are claiming that their model would be jeopardised if they revealed the info. However they are in danger of blowing any semblance of a decent reputation if they don't at least try explain how and why they got it so badly wrong.

Scary

It's the last thing anyone would want to find out first thing in the morning with a sore head. So it seems the tax man is now following me on twitter:

Great.

A wee follow up...

TB is hungover after the Peter Watt book launch last night. Great evening. Just a quick on to say Tweetminster don't like it up them. They have responded to TB's post with a pithy

response

that doesn't actually deny the numbers were dodgy.

Just like their traffic figures too. Embeded widgets that piggy back other peoples traffic (such at the Indy website) don't count as pageviews however hard you try make it look like it.

Point stands then.

Why Tweetminster is Wrong - #tweetgate

Self professed lefty Alberto Nardelli and co at

Tweetminster

have a pretty sweet set up going - essentially they are paid to sit on the sofa all day watching their Tweetdecks. A hundred grand of funding has bought them less than ten thousand followers on Twitter and an estimated forty thousand page views per month on their website. However the media is still a sucker for Twitter stories, hence why their report in to engagement by MPs and wannabee MPs this week got

coverage.

They do try to keep up a semblance of impartiality but the figures about Labour's twitter following beggared belief.

Essentially the report said the CCHQ operation has the most influence of the party machines, where as Labour grassroots use Twitter a hell of a lot more. Given that they have been paid so much to run the service by a public affairs agency

Politics Direct

you think they would have bothered to do their sums properly.

Tweetminster say

that Labour is collectively followed by 113,201 users (p4) - with MPs followed by 91,061 users (p9) and PPCs by 22,140 (p12). This assumption is based on two extremely unlikely factors:

- Not one of the followers follows more than one MP or PPC each.

- Not one Labour MP follows another.

Tweetminster are inflating the figures by counting people who follow MPs and PPCs together. It is no coincidence that 91,061 + 22,140 = 113,201. A simple look at any prominent Labour tweeter would show you they follow multiple MPs and PPCs, rendering the Tweetminster figures dud. Are these all counted as uniques?

Are the Conservative figure be similarly affected? It would definitely take a knock, but with many fewer Conservative MPs on Twitter (16 to Labour's 65) the effect would be far smaller. Most Tory PPCs on Twitter are followed by very small numbers so it wouldn't take much of a knock that way either. The idea that Labour are some how the kings of Twitter with a vast army of online followers takes a bit of a hit in light of the fact numbers have been cooked up.

Stick to the Wii chaps.

PMQs

There have been more exciting PMQs, but was nice to see Hague give Harman a good doing over in their battle today. Banking was on the agenda and Harman was way out of her depth, good idea from the Tories to spring this on her. Wearing a dressing gown she fell into the trap set for her when she suggested that Gordon's tobin tax proposals were a sign of Labour having ideas about saving the world again. Hague gently reminded her that these proposals had been slammed just yesterday by the Bank of England. Hague's concluding list of what Gordon Brown has been wrong, wrong, wrong on, clearly rattled Harriet who spent the rest of the session trying to whack the Tories with irrelevent pot shots. The Tory backbenchers were very rowdy, like school kids with a replacement teacher. A shaking Cable, as ever, failed to impress. With a bit of luck that will be the last time we ever have to sit through Harman standing in, but knowing Gordon he will probably find more excuses to miss the last few duels.

Harman was poorly briefed and the one joke written for her about her reversing was poorly delivered and flopped. The day was Hague's.

Hague 7, Harman 5, Cable 3

Night Fever

If you haven't seen Boris throwing some shapes then TB

highly recommends

.

A New Editorial Stance at LabourHome

It had been a while since Tory Bear drifted over to

LabourHome

and he only found himself there after his google alerts noticed that his televisual sparring partner Alex Hilton had decided to have a little go with some pictures he found of TB is his more refined university days. The last time TB saw that photo used in an attack, it came from Draper's office. Nice.

Anyway to cut a long story short, when TB registered to leave a comment he found there was some fun to be had:

Sign yourself up here

and have a go...

UPDATE: 12.24: Ah after an hour of fun, someone has clocked what was going on. Fun and games over.

TB is no Kate Garraway... But...

Caption Contest - Labourlist Own Goal Edition

Alex Smith editor of

Labourlist

doesn't exactly look "down with the kids":

Captions below, normal rules apply.